> “Are we afraid of our competitors? No, we’re completely unafraid of our competitors,” said Taylor. “For the most part, because—in the case of Nvidia—they don’t appear to care that much about VR. And in the case of the dollars spent on R&D, they seem to be very happy doing stuff in the car industry, and long may that continue—good luck to them.
the tool works better than stackoverflow, and i expect it eventually will improve enough that such people become as "productive" as the intelligent and conscientious engineer today.
> I don't see how that's possible, but maybe I'm thinking too myopically.
you are thinking too myopically.
We have people who can still do maths well after the introduction of the calculator. We have people who can still spell after the introduction of spell check.
The junior only need to train without using AI to gain the skills needed - that's called education. If they choose to rely on AI solely, and gimp their own education, that's on them.
> We have people who can still do maths well after the introduction of the calculator.
I assume by "do maths" you mean doing simple calculations, like adding a bunch of small numbers, in one's head. That's because in many situations it's more convenient to do so, than using a calculator. So the skill is preserved / practiced, because a calculator is too cumbersome to use. The skills of most people settle at the equilibrium where it takes the same effort to take out the calculator and focus on typing, as it would to strain the brain doing it without a calculator.
> We have people who can still spell after the introduction of spell check.
When using spell check to fix your document, you automatically learn to spell. Your skills improve by using the tool. A better analogy to AI would be an email client with a "Fix all and send"-button, where you never look at the output of the spell checker.
I would also argue, that most school system forbid the usage of a calculator the first couple of years (at least that's how it was Germany a few decades ago). The same with writing per hand. You can spell check by looking the word up and then manually correcting it.
Both require manual "labor" which leads to learning.
And calculators took decades to become widespread. So we could learn of their side effects before they became mainstream.
Also to note. Calculators merely solve intermediary steps. LLMs are increasingly designed to do a one shot full blown work. Longer context, deep thinking, agentic loops.
> > We have people who can still spell after the introduction of spell check.
> When using spell check to fix your document, you automatically learn to spell. Your skills improve by using the tool. A better analogy to AI would be an email client with a "Fix all and send"-button, where you never look at the output of the spell checker.
I was in highschool right as spellcheckers were becoming common, and the general consensus among us as students was that they made us worse for exactly that reason: We could just click the spellcheck button and "accept all", so most of us stopped learning the right way to spell words we had trouble with.
No. These tools are very good at creating illusion of learning, without any learning. When you watch them do stuff, you think, yeah I got this.
Once they are gone, you realize all your supposed skill is gone too. Getting a skill requires deliberate practice. You can use AI for that, but just using AI is not that.
There's an old Latin proverb "Scribere bis legere", which translates to "writing is reading twice".
In practice, what this means is that you can read some subject many times, but you would still struggle to reproduce the content by yourself. That is why, when learning, it is not sufficient to just read the material several times.
Why is it always so consistently a comparison to a technology of a fundamentally different order? Perhaps what has been lost is the ability to recognise distinct and incommensurable categories.
Yes but currently I don't know of a single company in my area that doesn't make you use AI daily because of the supposedly increased productivity. That means that juniors also absolutely have to use AI, probably sabotaging their learning process in the long run.
Those are inappropriate examples because they are all deterministic. The whole reason behind the AI movement is the move from deterministic processes, and exact descriptions, to handwavy descriptions and stochastic processes.
Of course there are people who do maths after the introduction of the calculator Just like there are more people who program after the introduction of the electronic computer.
It is kind of embarrasing but I feel worse at arithmetic than I ever was thanks to calculator reliance. I used to be able to do all sorts of complicated division and multiplication in my head. Exponents, whatever. Now it is like I have a disability. I feel like a first grader. What is 6738 / 37? I got to reach for a calculator now but in 6th grade that would have been a moment with a scrap of paper. Not sure I can even do long division on paper anymore. I can’t be alone with this.
or it's made the onus for the proof that the data wasn't used, so if your decision didn't come with a proof it wasn't, the party making the decision can be sued for it.
> what exactly is stopping any company from doing this themselves and breaking into the RAM business?
nothing, except the terrible yields that they would obtain, and the lack of scale making the entire enterprise not profit generating (as the amount of profit per sale is too low if it even is positive, but you can't set it higher as there's cheaper, "better" ram available from pre-established fabs that do have economies of scale).
You could play the artisanal angle, and market it as home grown, organic ram. Not sure how much real buyers of ram care, but might get a few hobbyists in the market.
The angle right now I think is pretty obvious, there is a massive shortage that might cause actual incidents.
OpenAI should do their own production, I say slightly bitter because I'm in a health care sector that might be affected because we can't scale up or repair our infrastructure due to their massive pre-orders.
You know the idea is powerful when the idea is what gets remembered and not the author of the idea. It's why this is also my absolute fav of all his works.
if they had this management attitude, they wouldn't have been so far behind so as to need this action in the first place!
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